Long‑term virological outcome in children receiving first‑line antiretroviral therapy

Abstract

Studies relating to long-term virological outcomes among children on first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) from low and middle-income countries are limited. Three hundred and ninety-three ART-naïve children living with HIV [mean (SD) age: 7.6 (3) years; mean (SD) CD4%: 16% (8); median (IQR) HIV-RNA: 5.1 (3.5–5.7) log10 copies/ml] were enrolled into the study. At 48 weeks, significant improvement occurred in weight-for-age and height-for-age z-scores from baseline (all p < 0.001). The immunologic response was good; almost 90% of children showing an increase in their absolute CD4+T cell count to more than 350 cells/mm3. Immunological failure was noted among 11% (28/261) and virologic failure in 29% (94/328) of children. Of the 94 children with virologic failure at 12 months, 36 children showed immunologic failure while the rest had good immunologic improvement. There was no demonstrable correlation between virologic and immunologic failure. 62% had reported > 90% adherence to ART. At the time of virologic failure, multiple NNRTI-associated mutations were observed: 80%—K103N and Y181C being the major NNRTI mutations—observed. Sensitivity (95% CI) of immunologic failure to detect virologic failure was 7% (2–12), specificity 97% (92.4–98.9), PPV 44% (13.7–78.8) and NPV was 72% (65–77.9). There were no statistically significant predictors to detect children who will develop virologic failure on treatment.